Superb wheat harvest forecast for Australia
Australia’s second largest wheat harvest on record is predicted for 2011-2012, according to a report released today by the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Science (ABARES).
The ABARES crop report for the September quarter predicts Australia’s total winter crop production to be around 41 million tonnes in 2011–12. This would be the fourth largest winter crop on record and is an upward revision from the ABARES June 2011 forecast of 40.8 million tonnes. Wheat production in Australia will be 26.2 million tonnes in 2011-12, according to report.
The ABARES report states that “favourable conditions and likely higher production” in Western Australia, South Australia and Victoria is expected to more than offset lower forecast production in New South Wales and Queensland.
Barley and canola harvests not as strong
The report also states, “Of Australia’s other major winter crops, barley production is forecast to fall by 11 per cent to 8.3 million tonnes, while canola production is forecast to increase by 7 per cent to 2.3 million tonnes.”
Weather predictions: Wet up north, drier in south
The Australian Bureau of Meteorology’s last published seasonal rainfall outlook (25 August 2011) favours a wetter than normal spring across the cropping regions in Western Australia, Queensland and northern New South Wales. According to the ABARES, for the latter two regions, this will be important for the upcoming planting of summer crops. For southern New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia, the ABARES report claims there is a less than even chance of exceeding median rainfall over spring.